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MarketVIEW: MERS-CoV vaccines

Published: January 2020

MERS-CoV infection a novel coronavirus causes Middle East respiratory syndrome a new disease first identified in Saudi Arabia in 2012. MERS-CoV has become significant because it is a virus considered by the WHO and other organisations, e.g. CEPI Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations to have pandemic potential. At the end of November 2019, 2494 cases of MERS had been reported across 27 countries, but importantly 858 persons had died (case fatality rate = 34.4%). Although transmission is mainly from animals to people, MERS-CoV has on occasion been transmitted from human-to-human, heightening concern. For example, in 2015 MERS-CoV infected 185 people starting from an index case that had travelled from the Middle-East.

This MarketVIEW product is a comprehensive Executive Presentation (154 slides) and MS-Excel forecast model which investigates the commercial potential of a putative MERS-CoV vaccine in all relevant target groups (preventative and emergency scenarios) to 2035. The potential of public (stockpile) and potential private markets are explored. There is comparative analysis of other CEPI based initiatives, e.g. Nipah and Lassa. Detailed case study analyses of other vaccine procurement/deployment scenarios also serve as guidance with all assumptions clearly outlined. A thorough review of current disease background/epidemiology and R&D competitive environment are also included. This product is ideally suited to organisations wishing to quantify the MERS-CoV vaccine opportunity.


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